Home Football Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund Preview: UEFA Champions League 2026

Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund Preview: UEFA Champions League 2026

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Atalanta BC vs Borussia Dortmund

UEFA Champions League
February 25, 2026 at 5:45 PM
TBD

UEFA Champions League Round of 16: Atalanta BC vs. Borussia Dortmund – A Clash of European Ambition

Date: 2026-02-25
Competition: UEFA Champions League, Round of 16 (First Leg)
Venue: Unknown Venue (Atalanta’s Home Leg)

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1. INTRODUCTION

As the UEFA Champions League knockout stages ignite, football enthusiasts worldwide turn their attention to a fascinating first-leg encounter between Italian dark horses Atalanta BC and German giants Borussia Dortmund. Scheduled for February 25, 2026, this clash promises a high-octane spectacle, pitting Atalanta’s relentless, high-pressing dynamism against Dortmund’s youthful exuberance and lightning-fast transitions. This isn’t merely a battle for a place in the quarter-finals; it’s a litmus test for both clubs’ European aspirations and a chance to etch their names deeper into the continent’s elite narrative.

For Atalanta, this fixture represents another opportunity to solidify their standing as a perennial European competitor, proving that their sustained success is no fluke. Under Gian Piero Gasperini, La Dea have consistently defied expectations, and a deep Champions League run would be the ultimate vindication of their unique philosophy. The stakes are immense: prestige, significant financial rewards, and the chance to challenge the established order.

Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, arrive with their own set of pressures. Perennially in the shadow of Bayern Munich domestically, the Champions League offers their clearest path to major silverware and a statement of intent on the global stage. Having navigated a challenging group, BVB will be desperate to translate their domestic attacking prowess into European knockout success, silencing critics who question their big-game mentality. For their passionate fanbase, it’s about reclaiming their place among the continent’s true heavyweights.

This match is a must-watch for anyone who appreciates tactical intrigue, attacking football, and the raw emotion of European nights. With two teams renowned for their offensive capabilities and a history of thrilling encounters, expect drama, goals, and a fiercely contested tactical battle that could set the tone for the entire tie.

2. CURRENT FORM & STANDINGS

Atalanta BC:
Atalanta enter this Champions League Round of 16 tie in commendable form, having found a rhythm that has propelled them into the upper echelons of Serie A and through a competitive Champions League group. Over their last 10 matches across all competitions, La Dea boast a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses. This run includes impressive victories against top-half Serie A rivals and a crucial win in their final Champions League group stage fixture that secured their passage. Their league position currently sees them occupying 4th place in Serie A, accumulating 48 points from 25 games, with a healthy goal difference of +18 (45 goals scored, 27 conceded).

Their momentum is largely built on a potent attack, which has averaged over 2 goals per game in their recent outings, showcasing their characteristic fluidity and diverse goal-scoring threats. While their defensive solidity has seen some minor fluctuations, particularly against teams that can absorb pressure and counter-attack quickly, they have generally tightened up at the back, benefiting from the return of key personnel. The team’s morale is high, buoyed by their consistent domestic performance and the palpable excitement of another deep European run.

Borussia Dortmund:
Borussia Dortmund arrive in Bergamo having experienced a more inconsistent, albeit still impressive, spell of form. Over their last 10 fixtures, BVB have recorded 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their Bundesliga campaign currently sees them sitting in 3rd position with 50 points from 25 matches, trailing the top two but maintaining a comfortable gap over the chasing pack. Their goal difference stands at +22 (52 goals scored, 30 conceded), underscoring their offensive firepower.

Dortmund’s recent form has been a microcosm of their season: flashes of brilliant, free-flowing attacking football interspersed with moments of defensive vulnerability and a tendency to drop points in winnable games. They demonstrated their European pedigree by topping a challenging Champions League group, often relying on individual brilliance and devastating counter-attacks. However, recent draws against mid-table Bundesliga sides have highlighted a lingering issue with consistency, particularly when facing compact defenses. Despite this, the squad possesses undeniable quality and a proven ability to perform on the biggest stages, especially when their attacking stars are firing. Their momentum heading into this tie is somewhat mixed, but the allure of Champions League football often brings out their best.

3. HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY

The historical record between Atalanta BC and Borussia Dortmund is surprisingly sparse, yet it provides a compelling narrative for this upcoming encounter. These two clubs have met only twice in competitive European football, both occasions occurring in the UEFA Europa League Round of 32 during the 2017-18 season.

The first leg, played in Dortmund, was a thrilling affair that saw Borussia Dortmund emerge victorious with a 3-2 scoreline. Dortmund’s individual quality shone through, particularly from a young Michy Batshuayi who bagged a brace, including a late winner. Atalanta, true to their emerging identity under Gasperini, demonstrated immense resilience and attacking intent, twice coming from behind to level the scores before Batshuayi’s decisive strike.

The return leg in Italy was equally dramatic. Atalanta, fueled by their passionate home support, pushed hard for the aggregate equalizer. They took the lead through Rafael Tolói, putting them in a commanding position. However, Dortmund once again found a way, with Batshuayi scoring late in the game to secure a 1-1 draw and a narrow 4-3 aggregate victory.

Summary of Head-to-Head (2017-18 Europa League):
Matches Played: 2
Borussia Dortmund Wins: 1
Atalanta BC Wins: 0
Draws: 1
Goals Scored (Dortmund): 4
Goals Scored (Atalanta): 3

Patterns and Psychological Edge:
While Dortmund ultimately prevailed in that tie, the encounters were fiercely contested, showcasing Atalanta’s ability to go toe-to-toe with a European heavyweight. The narrow aggregate scoreline underscored Atalanta’s growth and competitive spirit even then. For Dortmund, those victories demonstrated their capacity to grind out results against aggressive, well-drilled sides.

Psychologically, Dortmund might hold a slight edge, having eliminated Atalanta previously. However, nearly eight years have passed since those meetings. Both clubs have evolved significantly. Atalanta, in particular, has matured into a consistent Champions League participant, shedding their “surprise package” label. The current Atalanta is arguably a more experienced and tactically refined outfit than the one Dortmund faced in 2018. The memory of how close they came will likely fuel Atalanta’s desire for revenge, while Dortmund will be wary of underestimating an opponent that pushed them to their limits in the past. This history, though brief, sets the stage for a compelling narrative of past rivalry and present ambition.

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4. TEAM NEWS & SQUAD ANALYSIS

Both Atalanta and Borussia Dortmund are expected to field strong lineups, though potential injury concerns and tactical decisions will shape their final XIs.

Atalanta BC:
Gian Piero Gasperini’s tactical system, typically a 3-4-2-1 or 3-4-1-2, relies heavily on specific player profiles and high-intensity execution.

Goalkeeper: Juan Musso has been the preferred choice in Europe, though Marco Carnesecchi offers strong competition. Musso’s experience will likely see him start.
Defense: The back three is crucial. Berat Djimsiti is a consistent presence, often flanked by the returning Giorgio Scalvini (a key young talent who recently recovered from a minor knock) and the physical Sead Kolašinac. Rafael Tolói and Isak Hien provide experienced cover.
Midfield: The engine room is vital. Teun Koopmeiners and Éderson are expected to anchor the central midfield, providing defensive bite, passing range, and goal threat from deep. Marten de Roon is also a strong contender for a starting spot, offering leadership and defensive stability.
Wing-backs: The wing-backs are arguably the most critical players in Gasperini’s system, providing width, defensive cover, and attacking impetus. Davide Zappacosta on the right and Joakim Mæhle on the left are the likely starters, with Matteo Ruggeri and Hans Hateboer as strong alternatives.
Attack: This is where Atalanta’s fluidity shines. Ademola Lookman, fresh off a fantastic run of form, is almost a certainty to start. Charles De Ketelaere, who has rediscovered his scoring touch this season, is expected to partner him in the attacking midfield roles, supporting Gianluca Scamacca as the central striker. Scamacca’s aerial presence and hold-up play are vital. Mario Pašalić and Aleksei Miranchuk offer creative depth off the bench.

Injury Concerns: Scalvini’s recent return from a thigh strain will be monitored, but he’s expected to be fit to start. No major long-term injuries are reported.
Suspensions: No key players are currently suspended for the first leg.
Squad Depth: Atalanta’s depth, particularly in midfield and attack, allows Gasperini to rotate and maintain intensity. The return of Scalvini is a significant boost to their defensive options.

Likely Atalanta XI (3-4-2-1): Musso; Scalvini, Djimsiti, Kolašinac; Zappacosta, Éderson, Koopmeiners, Mæhle; De Ketelaere, Lookman; Scamacca.

Borussia Dortmund:
Edin Terzić typically deploys a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing quick transitions and exploiting wide areas.

Goalkeeper: Gregor Kobel is an undisputed starter, a crucial shot-stopper and leader at the back.
Defense: The back four will likely feature Julian Ryerson at right-back and Ian Maatsen (loaned from Chelsea) at left-back, both providing dynamism. The central defensive pairing is expected to be Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Süle, offering a blend of ball-playing ability and physical presence. Mats Hummels provides veteran experience off the bench.
Midfield: Emre Can anchors the midfield, providing defensive cover and leadership. Alongside him, Marcel Sabitzer’s energy and passing range are vital. Julian Brandt is the creative lynchpin in the attacking midfield role, orchestrating play and contributing goals.
Attack: Dortmund’s pace and directness are their biggest assets. Donyell Malen and Karim Adeyemi are expected to start on the wings, tasked with stretching Atalanta’s defense and cutting inside. Niclas Füllkrug, the robust striker, provides a focal point, though Sébastien Haller offers a different profile from the bench. Jamie Bynoe-Gittens and Marco Reus (still a valuable veteran in 2026) are strong attacking options.

Injury Concerns: Dortmund has had its share of injury woes throughout the season. While no major new concerns have emerged recently, the fitness of key attackers like Adeyemi and Malen, who have had intermittent issues, will be closely monitored. Felix Nmecha is a long-term absentee.
Suspensions: No key players are suspended for the first leg.
Squad Depth: Dortmund boasts impressive depth in attack, offering Terzić various options to change the game. The midfield and defensive depth, while solid, can sometimes be tested against high-quality opposition.

Likely Borussia Dortmund XI (4-2-3-1): Kobel; Ryerson, Süle, Schlotterbeck, Maatsen; Can, Sabitzer; Malen, Brandt, Adeyemi; Füllkrug.

5. KEY PLAYERS TO WATCH

The outcome of this highly anticipated clash could well hinge on the individual brilliance and tactical discipline of a select few. Here are the key players expected to make a significant impact:

From Atalanta BC:

  1. Teun Koopmeiners (Central Midfielder): The Dutch international has blossomed into one of Serie A’s most complete midfielders and Atalanta’s undisputed orchestrator. In the 2025-26 season, Koopmeiners has continued his prolific form, boasting 8 goals and 6 assists across all competitions prior to this fixture. His strengths are multifaceted: a superb long-range passer, an intelligent reader of the game, and a genuine goal threat from midfield, often arriving late in the box or unleashing powerful shots from distance. He is also Atalanta’s primary set-piece taker, making him dangerous from free-kicks and corners. Against Dortmund’s often-porous midfield, Koopmeiners’ ability to dictate tempo, break lines with his passing, and contribute offensively will be crucial. His duel with Emre Can will be a defining battle.
  1. Ademola Lookman (Attacking Midfielder/Forward): The Nigerian international has been a revelation for Atalanta, bringing pace, trickery, and a clinical edge to their attack. With 12 goals and 4 assists this season, Lookman is in scintillating form. His ability to dribble past defenders, cut in from wide areas, and finish with precision makes him a constant threat. He thrives in the half-spaces between the opposition’s defense and midfield, exploiting any pockets of space. Lookman’s directness and explosive acceleration will be essential in breaking down Dortmund’s backline and creating opportunities for Scamacca or De Ketelaere. He also possesses a knack for scoring crucial goals in big games, making him a player Dortmund’s defenders, particularly their full-backs, will need to contain vigilantly.

From Borussia Dortmund:

  1. Julian Brandt (Attacking Midfielder): Dortmund’s creative heartbeat, Julian Brandt has matured into a truly world-class attacking midfielder. This season, he has been central to BVB’s attacking play, contributing 9 goals and 10 assists. Brandt’s vision, exquisite passing range, and ability to find pockets of space are unparalleled in the Dortmund squad. He excels at linking midfield and attack, often playing the killer pass or creating chances with his intelligent movement. His long-range shooting is also a significant threat. Against Atalanta’s man-oriented pressing, Brandt’s composure under pressure and his capacity to unlock defenses with a single pass will be vital for Dortmund to maintain possession and launch effective attacks. His performance will dictate much of Dortmund’s offensive flow.
  1. Gregor Kobel (Goalkeeper): While not an outfield player, Gregor Kobel’s importance to Borussia Dortmund cannot be overstated. He is arguably the best goalkeeper in the Bundesliga and a truly elite shot-stopper. His commanding presence, agility, and incredible reflexes have saved Dortmund on countless occasions. In a high-stakes Champions League knockout tie against an attacking side like Atalanta, Kobel’s ability to pull off crucial saves will be paramount. He also plays a vital role in organizing the defense and distributing the ball quickly to launch counter-attacks. Facing Atalanta’s relentless attack, which bombards the box with shots and crosses, Kobel will need to be at his absolute best to keep Dortmund in the game and provide a platform for an away goal.

6. TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

This first leg promises to be a fascinating tactical battle, a clash of philosophies between Gian Piero Gasperini’s unique high-intensity system and Edin Terzić’s blend of possession and rapid transitions.

Atalanta’s Tactical Approach (Gasperini):
Formation: Atalanta will almost certainly line up in their customary 3-4-2-1 formation, which morphs into a 3-4-3 or 3-5-2 depending on the phase of play.
Playing Style: The hallmark of Gasperini’s Atalanta is relentless, man-oriented pressing across the entire pitch. They aim to suffocate opponents, win the ball high up, and transition quickly into attack. This is not a passive press; it’s aggressive, almost individualistic marking that follows opponents wherever they go.
Build-up: From the back, they often use their three central defenders to build, with the central midfielder (Koopmeiners or Éderson) dropping deep to facilitate play. However, they are also comfortable going direct to Scamacca, using his hold-up play to bring the wing-backs and attacking midfielders into play.
Attacking Patterns: Wing-backs (Zappacosta, Mæhle) provide extreme width, pushing high to deliver crosses or cutbacks. The two attacking midfielders (De Ketelaere, Lookman) operate in the half-spaces, linking with the striker and making late runs into the box. Overloading the opposition’s defensive third is a common theme.
Defensive Setup: When defending deep, the wing-backs drop back to form a five-man defense, with the central midfielders screening. However, their primary defense is their offense – winning the ball back quickly before the opponent can settle.
Set-Pieces: Koopmeiners’ delivery makes them a significant threat from corners and free-kicks, with powerful defenders like Djimsiti and Kolašinac, alongside Scamacca, providing aerial targets.

Borussia Dortmund’s Tactical Approach (Terzić):
Formation: Dortmund is expected to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, which can shift to a 4-3-3 in possession.
Playing Style: Terzić’s Dortmund seeks a balance between structured possession and devastating counter-attacking football. They aim to control the midfield, utilize the pace of their wingers, and create chances through Julian Brandt’s creativity.
Build-up: They build patiently from the back, with Schlotterbeck and Süle comfortable on the ball. Emre Can often drops between the centre-backs to facilitate the first phase. The full-backs (Ryerson, Maatsen) are encouraged to push high, but with an awareness of defensive transitions.
Attacking Patterns: Dortmund relies heavily on the individual brilliance of Brandt in the central attacking role, who links with the direct wingers (Malen, Adeyemi). These wingers often look to cut inside or drive to the byline. Füllkrug provides a physical presence in the box. Quick one-touch passing in the final third is a feature.
Defensive Setup: In defense, they typically press in a mid-block, aiming to force opponents wide and then win the ball back. Their defensive transitions can sometimes be vulnerable, especially against quick counters if their full-backs are caught high. Individual errors in the backline have also been a recurring issue.
Set-Pieces: While not their primary source of goals, Dortmund has tall defenders (Süle, Schlotterbeck, Füllkrug) who can be dangerous from set-pieces, and Brandt’s delivery is excellent.

Tactical Matchup & Key Duels:
Atalanta’s Press vs. Dortmund’s Build-up: This will be the defining tactical battle. Can Dortmund’s defenders and midfielders (Can, Sabitzer) withstand Atalanta’s relentless man-marking and press to build effective attacks? If Dortmund can bypass the initial press, their quick attackers could find space behind Atalanta’s high defensive line.
Wing-back Battle: The Atalanta wing-backs (Zappacosta, Mæhle) will be crucial. They must provide width in attack while also tracking Dortmund’s rapid wingers (Malen, Adeyemi). This will be a physically demanding duel.
Midfield Control: The battle between Koopmeiners/Éderson and Can/Sabitzer will determine who controls the tempo. Koopmeiners’ ability to break lines will test Dortmund’s defensive midfield screening.
Brandt vs. Atalanta’s Man-Marking: How will Atalanta’s defenders handle Brandt’s elusive movement? If he can find space, he could pick apart their defense. If he is effectively shut down, Dortmund’s creativity will suffer.

The team that executes its tactical plan with greater precision and intensity, and minimizes individual errors, will gain a significant advantage in this first leg.

7. STRENGTHS vs WEAKNESSES

Atalanta BC:

Strengths:
High-Intensity Pressing: Their relentless, man-oriented press is incredibly difficult to play against, often suffocating opponents and creating turnovers in dangerous areas.
Attacking Fluidity & Diverse Goal Threats: Goals come from all areas – strikers, attacking midfielders, central midfielders, and wing-backs. Their movement is unpredictable and hard to track.
Physicality & Stamina: Gasperini’s teams are renowned for their incredible fitness, allowing them to maintain intensity for 90 minutes.
Set-Piece Threat: With Koopmeiners’ delivery and strong aerial targets, they are a significant danger from dead-ball situations.
Home Advantage: Playing at home, Atalanta feed off their passionate support, which can be an intimidating environment.

Weaknesses:
Vulnerability to Counter-Attacks: Their high defensive line and man-oriented marking can be exploited by quick, incisive counter-attacks if their press is bypassed. Spaces can open up quickly.
Individual Errors in Defense: While generally well-drilled, individual lapses in concentration or poor decisions from defenders can lead to costly goals.
Struggles Against Patient Possession: Teams that can calmly circulate the ball and draw Atalanta out of position can sometimes frustrate their press and create openings.
Discipline: The intensity of their play can sometimes lead to an accumulation of yellow cards.

Borussia Dortmund:

Strengths:
Pace & Directness in Attack: Players like Malen, Adeyemi, and Brandt offer blistering speed and direct running, making them devastating on the counter-attack.
Individual Brilliance: They possess several players capable of producing moments of magic that can turn a game, particularly Brandt and their wingers.
Strong Goalkeeping: Gregor Kobel is an elite shot-stopper whose saves often keep Dortmund in games they might otherwise lose.
Transitional Play: Their ability to transition quickly from defense to attack is one of the best in Europe.
Deep Attacking Options: Terzić has a wealth of attacking talent on the bench to change the game.

Weaknesses:
Defensive Inconsistencies: The backline can be prone to individual errors and a lack of collective defensive cohesion, particularly under sustained pressure.
Susceptibility to High Press: Dortmund’s build-up play can sometimes be disrupted by aggressive, high pressing, leading to turnovers in dangerous areas.
Mental Fragility in Big Moments: While they have shown improvement, Dortmund has historically struggled with consistency in high-stakes European matches, sometimes lacking the killer instinct or succumbing to pressure.
Over-reliance on Individual Quality: At times, their attacking play can become too dependent on individual moments rather than fluid team patterns, especially when faced with well-organized defenses.

How They May Exploit Each Other:

Atalanta Exploiting Dortmund: La Dea will look to aggressively press Dortmund’s defenders and midfielders, aiming to force turnovers in BVB’s half. They will also target Dortmund’s full-backs with their high-flying wing-backs, creating numerical advantages and delivering crosses for Scamacca. Lookman and De Ketelaere will aim to exploit the spaces that can open up between Dortmund’s center-backs and full-backs.
Dortmund Exploiting Atalanta: BVB will attempt to draw Atalanta’s aggressive press high and then quickly play through the lines, utilizing Brandt’s vision to release Malen and Adeyemi into the vast spaces behind Atalanta’s high defensive line. Quick, vertical passes and direct counter-attacks after winning the ball will be their most potent weapons against Atalanta’s man-marking system. They will also test Atalanta’s central defenders with Füllkrug’s physical presence and the runs of their attacking midfielders.

8. MATCH PREDICTION & BETTING ODDS

This Champions League Round of 16 first leg is incredibly difficult to call, given the attacking prowess and tactical complexities of both sides. However, playing at home, Atalanta typically displays an extra gear of intensity and aggression that often overwhelms opponents.

Match Prediction:
I predict a narrow victory for Atalanta BC, with both teams finding the back of the net. The sheer intensity of Atalanta’s press, combined with their home advantage, will likely tip the scales in their favor. However, Dortmund’s individual brilliance and speed in transition mean they are almost guaranteed to score an away goal, which will be crucial for the second leg.

Score Prediction: Atalanta BC 2 – 1 Borussia Dortmund

Key Factors That Will Decide the Game:

  1. The Midfield Battle: The team that controls the central areas and wins the most second balls will dictate the tempo. Koopmeiners vs. Brandt will be a fascinating duel.
  2. Effectiveness of the Press: Can Atalanta’s press disrupt Dortmund’s build-up effectively, or will Dortmund’s composure and quick passing bypass it to create dangerous counter-attacks?
  3. Goalkeeper Performance: Both Musso and especially Kobel will likely be called upon to make crucial saves. A standout performance from either could be decisive.
  4. Individual Moments of Brilliance: In a tightly contested game, a piece of magic from Lookman, De Ketelaere, Brandt, or Adeyemi could be the difference-maker.
  5. Set Pieces: Given the attacking nature of both teams and the quality of their set-piece takers, a goal from a corner or free-kick is a strong possibility.

Betting Analysis (Hypothetical Odds):

Match Result:
Atalanta Win: ~2.10
Draw: ~3.60
Borussia Dortmund Win: ~3.30
(Atalanta would be slight favorites due to home advantage and current form)

Goals:
Over 2.5 Goals: ~1.65 (Highly likely given both teams’ attacking styles and defensive vulnerabilities)
Both Teams To Score (BTTS): Yes ~1.55 (Very high probability)

First Goal Scorer:
Gianluca Scamacca (Atalanta): ~6.00
Ademola Lookman (Atalanta): ~7.00
Niclas Füllkrug (Dortmund): ~7.50
Donyell Malen (Dortmund): ~8.00

Corners:
Over 9.5 Corners: ~1.80 (Both teams attack with width and look to get crosses in, suggesting a high corner count)

Cards:
Over 3.5 Cards: ~1.70 (The intensity and man-marking will likely lead to several bookings)

The smart money would be on a high-scoring affair with both teams finding the net. Atalanta’s home advantage makes them the slight favorites, but Dortmund’s away goal could prove vital for the tie’s overall outcome.

9. CONCLUSION

As the Champions League anthem echoes, the stage is set for a captivating first leg between Atalanta BC and Borussia Dortmund. This encounter is more than just a football match; it’s a testament to Atalanta’s remarkable journey and Dortmund’s enduring quest for European glory. We anticipate a tactical masterclass from Gian Piero Gasperini, whose high-octane Atalanta will aim to suffocate Dortmund with their relentless press and fluid attacking movements. Conversely, Edin Terzić’s Dortmund will seek to leverage their individual brilliance, blistering pace, and incisive transitions to exploit any spaces behind Atalanta’s aggressive defensive line.

Expect a game played at a furious tempo, characterized by intense midfield battles, daring runs down the flanks, and moments of breathtaking skill. An early goal could ignite the tie, forcing one side to chase and potentially opening up the game further. While Atalanta’s home advantage and tactical discipline might give them a narrow edge in this first leg, Dortmund’s capacity for an away goal ensures that this tie will be far from over after 90 minutes.

This fixture promises to be a thrilling, end-to-end spectacle, offering football fans a true taste of Champions League knockout drama. Prepare for a battle of wills, a clash of tactical philosophies, and a night that could define the European aspirations of two ambitious clubs. Do not miss it.

Atalanta BC

  • Form: Data pending
  • Position: Data pending
  • Last 5: Data pending

Borussia Dortmund

  • Form: Data pending
  • Position: Data pending
  • Last 5: Data pending

Head to Head

Head-to-head data will be updated as statistics become available.

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